The docket for Montana-Dakota Utilities Co.’s Renewable Energy Rider Rate 15 identifies the following areas of growth:
1. Customer Participation Trends:
- There has been a notable fluctuation and recent decline in customer subscriptions and blocks purchased. The number of residential program participants was 20 in 2024, with 2,216 blocks purchased, which is a decrease from prior years (for instance, 2,709 blocks in 2023 and 3,398 in 2022)
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- Growth in customer participation is a key consideration for program sustainability. Lower participation levels reduce program revenues and may impact the economics of REC purchases and program administration.
2. Renewable Energy Credit (REC) Market and Pricing:
- The cost of RECs has decreased, contributing to an over-recovery of program funds and prompting a proposed reduction in the customer charge per block from $0.22 to $0.01 effective June 1, 2025
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- The volatility of REC prices is a key consideration, as future price increases could necessitate upward rate adjustments. The company aims to balance current over-recovery with potential future fluctuations in REC costs.
Key considerations related to these areas include:
- Ensuring the program remains attractive to existing and new customers to avoid further declines in participation.
- Managing and communicating rate changes transparently to avoid abrupt swings in customer charges due to REC price fluctuations or shifting subscription levels.
- Maintaining compliance with regulatory notice requirements and transparency in tariff updates
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- Monitoring the long-term viability of the program as a result of participation trends and REC market changes.
Overall, while customer participation and REC pricing are the primary areas of growth and change, the key considerations are program sustainability, rate stability, and regulatory compliance.