The docket identifies several key areas of growth and outlines important considerations for each:
1. Renewable Energy Transition
- WEC's Generation Reshaping Plan (GRP) aims to replace older, high-carbon generation with renewable resources like wind and solar. The Red Barn Wind Energy Center is highlighted as a significant step in this broader strategy.
- Key considerations: The transition is expected to save customers over $1 billion in 20 years, help meet carbon reduction targets (WEC: 70% by 2030, MGE: 65% by 2030 from 2005 levels), and maintain high electric reliability. Decisions are influenced by improvements in renewable technology, favorable interest rates, and available tax credits, providing both cost benefits and a hedge against future fossil fuel price volatility and carbon regulation risks
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2. Capacity Needs Due to Asset Retirements
- MGE is projected to need over 250 MW of new capacity by 2024 because of planned retirements of legacy generating units and expiring power purchase agreements.
- Key considerations: The addition of Red Barn and similar projects is intended to fill this capacity gap with clean energy sources, supporting both system reliability and environmental goals
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3. System Load Growth
- Both WEC utilities forecast modest load growth from 2021 to 2030, followed by flat demand for the rest of the study period.
- Key considerations: Load growth is not a significant driver of new capacity; instead, the main factor is the replacement of retiring coal and gas units. Modeling allows for generic units or market capacity to be considered, optimizing future portfolio decisions
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4. Economic and Regulatory Environment
- The economic modeling considered uncertainties such as fuel prices, capital costs, technology changes, and regulatory factors. The cost-effectiveness of renewables is currently supported by technological advances, stable/low interest rates, and federal tax credits.
- Key considerations: Renewables provide protection against fuel price swings and potential future carbon regulations, with the expectation that these factors contribute to long-term customer savings
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5. Environmental and Siting Considerations
- The project acquisition process includes compliance with local, state, and federal environmental permitting but does not require a full environmental assessment or impact statement due to the project's size and acquisition structure.
- Key considerations: The seller is responsible for all construction and environmental permits; after acquisition, the utilities must adhere to ongoing permit requirements and are subject to complaint processes for operational compliance
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In summary, the docket focuses on growth in renewable generation, capacity replacement due to retirements, modest load growth, economic/regulatory dynamics, and environmental compliance as primary areas of consideration for the utilities’ future planning.